1.13 Baltimore Brown Clowns — RB Lamar Miller

In the real world: Another redshirt sophomore, Miller's 2011 stats (1,272 yards and 9 TDs on 227 carries) are even better than they look once you consider that, after suffering a shoulder injury late last September, he played through it. He has agility and acceleration, but not much experience in the passing game. "He reminds me a lot of Chris Johnson," says Todd McShay. But he fell to Round 4 in the NFL Draft for three reasons: May only be a two-down back: "If you put the Miami tape on, Miller doesn't show up on third down, short yardage, or goal line," said Mike Mayock on the April 11 NFL Network special, Path to the Draft. On that same show, Mike Lombardi also pointed to Miller's inability to pass protect as a reason he shouldn't go particularly high. Health (knees and shoulders). Concerns about his ability to digest an NFL playbook But his job situation with the Dolphins is promising. For starters, Reggie Bush will become a free agent after 2012, the final season of his current contract. Second-year pro Daniel Thomas is coming off a rough rookie season (3.5 yards per carry and ineffective in short-yardage situations).

In the TUFF world: Given that Michael Turner just turned 30 and Jahvid Best is prone to concussions, the Brown Clowns' top priority was to shore up their depth at running back. Miller's potential 2013 job situation, plus the fact that he goes around this spot in most of the other 16-team rookie drafts I've seen, make this pick a good one.